By Akio Matsumura
Read in Japanese, Spanish, German, French and Russian.
We continue to post the opinions of many international scientists on the potential global catastrophe that would result from the collapse of Reactor 4 at Fukushima Dai-ichi. The message now is simple and clear—Japan’s government will not act; it is the United States who must step forward—yet no action has been taken.
I was amazed when I heard that one million Japanese had read our article that introduces Ambassador Mitsuhei Murata’s courageous appeal at the public hearing of the House of Councilors of Japan and Robert Alvarez’s famous figure that there is 85 times greater Cesium-137 at Fukushima than at Chernobyl accident. People from 176 nations have visited our blog and Ambassador Murata and Robert Alvarez have been quoted in online and print media in many of them. Despite this global attention, the Japanese government seems to be further from taking action to deal with the growing dangers of Fukushima Dai-ichi. In April I flew to Japan to meet with government and opposition party leaders to convey how dangerous the situation is. Ambassador Murata and I met with Mr. Fujimura, Chief Cabinet Secretary, who assured us he would convey our message to Prime Minister Noda before his departure for Washington to meet with President Obama on April 30. It was to our great disappointment that the idea of an independent assessment team and international technical support for the disaster were not mentioned publicly. I was also astonished to hear that many Japanese political leaders were not aware of the potential global catastrophe because they were not told anything about it by TEPCO. I find it difficult to understand their mindset. Why would the Japanese political leaders think it appropriate to depend on one source (with an obvious and inherent conflict of interest) to judge what issues have resulted from the Fukushima accident and who is most appropriate to handle it? As a result of this myopia, Japan’s leadership lacks a clear picture of the situation and has little idea where it is steering its country and people.
Let me clarify briefly why Fukushima Dai-ichi remains an enormous danger for which no scientists can recommend a solution at the moment.
Any one of the following accidents could seriously endanger the entire Fukushima Dai-ichi area.
1. In reactors 1, 2 and 3, complete core meltdowns have occurred. Japanese authorities have admitted the possibility that the fuel may have melted through the bottom of the reactor core vessels. It is speculated that this might lead to unintended criticality (resumption of the chain reaction) or a powerful steam explosion – either event could lead to major new releases of radioactivity into the environment.
2. Reactors 1 and 3 are sites of particularly intense penetrating radiation, making those areas unapproachable. As a result, reinforcement repairs have not yet been done since the Fukushima accident. The ability of these structures to withstand a strong aftershock earthquake is uncertain.
3. The temporary cooling pipes installed in each of the crippled reactors pass through rubble and debris.
They are unprotected and highly vulnerable to damage. This could lead to a failure of some cooling systems, causing overheating of the fuel, further fuel damage with radioactive releases, additional hydrogen gas explosions, possibly even a zirconium fire and fuel melting within the spent fuel pools.
4. Reactor No. 4 building and its frame are serious damaged. The spent fuel pool in Unit 4, with a total weight of 1,670 tons, is suspended 100 feet (30 meters) above ground, beside a wall which is bulging outward.
If this pool collapses or drains, the resulting blast of penetrating radiation will shut down the entire area. At the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power station, the spent fuel pools alone contain an amount of cesium-137 that is 85 times greater than at Chernobyl.
Any of these occurrences could have major consequences for the entire Fukushima Dai-ichi area.
Due to the pressure by the public and media, the government of Japan sent Mr. Goshi Hosono, Minister of the Environment and Nuclear Power Policy, to Reactor 4 on May 26. He spent half an hour on a temporary staircase at the site. Surprisingly, he said the structure supporting the pool appeared sound. (So our constant request for an Independent Assessment team was accomplished within 30 minutes, just like that. Thanks, Japan.) Minister Hosono also said at the press meeting that Reactor 4 could stand a Magnitude-6 earthquake. I don’t understand why he said this. We are warning that Japanese geologists predict that a 90% probability M-7 earthquake will be hitting Japan within three years.
Is he preparing his excuse that a M-7 earthquake was beyond his assumption?
Does the government of Japan think that the public is stupid enough to believe in such a performance? If they are so brazen, it’s probably because they know the Japanese media will cover what they wish to be covered. If we were talking about business as usual, I could ignore this as political theater, but we are talking about a global catastrophe that mankind has never experienced. “Frustration” and “disappointment” take on new meaning with each passing day.
I decided to visit Washington, D.C., to meet with a retired Army Lieutenant General, an old friend who I first met at the United Nations, to explain how Fukushima should be considered an urgent international security priority, and how it requires immediate U.S. action.
He agreed. He saw very clearly why Fukushima needs action now and he was puzzled why all possible actors have been so slow to move. One year and two months have now passed and it is a mystery what the United States government is waiting for. Investigating Reactor 4 should be a prioritized national security issue. We think we have been lucky for 14 months but it was a litmus test to see if opinion leaders from all walks of life would stand up to face the challenge. They haven’t thus far. And I don’t think we can count on luck for 14 more months.
I also met with Bob Alvarez in Washington and we talked for several hours. I thanked him for his calculation of Cs-137 at Fukushima Daiichi site; the simple figure has helped draw the public’s attention to the issue. Mr. Alvarez said that the figure of a ten times Cs-137 at Reactor 4 compared to Chernobyl is low, but is useful to avoid scientific arguments; a higher figure might be 50 times, which means that 85 times greater than Chernobyl might be an underestimate as well.
But it doesn’t matter, Alvarez said, whether the magnitude is 10 or 20 times greater at Reactor 4. The Cesium-137 in Reactor 4 would cause all of Japan’s land to become an evacuation zone, the strong radiation would affect East Asia and North America, and the radioactive material fall out would remain there for several hundred years. He asked me if Japanese leaders understand this. My answer is, yes, they understand it in theory but not in a practical sense. Prime Minister Noda, the sixth premier in the past five years, does not have the political power to make a decision to request the Independent Assessment team and the international technical support teams outside of TEPCO.
I told him that I came to Washington to explain that Japan will not take the first step; its leadership does not have the power to act first and survive politically, and does not have the courage to take the first step without thinking of the second.
Our guest speaker at the Moscow Global Forum in 1990, Dr. Robert Socolow, a professor of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering at Princeton University wrote his essay to Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists dated March 21, 2011.
We must explain, over and over, the concept of ‘afterheat,’ the fire that you can’t put out, the generation of heat from fission fragments now and weeks from now and months from now, heat that must be removed. Journalists are having such a hard time communicating this concept because it is so unfamiliar to them and nearly everyone they are writing for. Every layman feels that every fire can be put out.
It is so difficult, as Dr. Socolow says, to convince political leaders to take action in the face of an unknown – in this case an unprecedented catastrophe that they cannot conceive of in terms of an election cycle.
In the same way, I must explain to foreign leaders over and over again that Japan’s Prime Minister is a consensus builder, not a risk taker. He won’t face up to this challenge.
The United States government is the only other logical actor, and I find it very difficult to understand why they remain silent.
If this global catastrophe occurs, what will the world history books say?
This essay expresses dismay that the US government has not taken this issue more seriously, but I never expected more. I think the US is just like the Japanese government in its motivation to downplay the seriousness of the issue. It goes against the interests of the global nuclear industry to take urgent action on nuclear waste, no matter how dangerous the problem. The attitude is: the less said about the hazards of nuclear waste the better, at Fukushima Daiichi or elsewhere. If the US announced that Fukushima was an urgent global threat, it would amount to an official denunciation of nuclear power in general. This would be extremely bad PR for the nuclear industry which Obama has promoted eagerly as an essential part of America’s energy future.
Also, I would assume that governments are aware of the Reactor 4 building’s vulnerability to malicious actions, so again, from their point of view, the less they talk about it, the better.
Something may come of this diplomatic effort (which I applaud), but I think nothing will change without much greater public pressure from the bottom up.
2 Chron 20:15 Thus saith the Lord unto you, Be not afraid nor dismayed by reason of this great multitude; for the battle is not yours, but God’s.
Eph 6:12 For we wrestle not against flesh and blood, but against principalities, against powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this world, against spiritual wickedness in high places.
Luke 10:19 Behold, I give unto you power to tread on serpents and scorpions, and over all the power of the enemy: and nothing shall by any means hurt you.
Mark 6:12 And they went out, and preached that men should repent
The US goverment does not act because the nuclear industry is in firm control of most American politicians. Corruption has become rampant here, and as Mark Twain once said, “We have best government money can buy”.
In “Obama and the Atom Lobby”, (see http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/06/08/obama-and-the-atom-lobby ) authors Jeffrey St. Clair and Joshua Frank describe Barack Obama as “. . . the nuclear industry’s Golden Child. No president in the last three decades has put more taxpayer dollars behind atom power than Barack Obama . . . the president is salivating over the prospect of building new nuclear power plants around the country.”
St. Clair and Frank note that Exelon, the nation’s largest nuclear power plant operator, in 2008 provided Barack Obama with his fifth largest bloc of campaign contributions. They state, “Two of Obama’s largest campaign fundraisers include Frank M. Clark and John W. Rogers Jr., both top Exelon officials. Clark served as a “bundler” for Obama for America, helping raise millions of dollars for the campaign. Even Obama’s chief strategist in 2008, David Axelrod, has done consulting work for the company.”
Obama’s Department of Energy has recently committed a total of $8.33 billion in loan guarantees for the construction and operation of two new nuclear reactors at a plant in Georgia. “When the new nuclear reactors come on line, they will provide reliable, base-load electricity capable of serving about 550,000 residences or 1.4 million people,” the Energy Department said in a press release. Carol Browner, director of the White House Office of Energy and Climate Change Policy said, “[reactors are] just the first of what we hope will be many new nuclear projects.”
Mark 13:23 But take ye heed: behold, I have foretold you all things.
The saying is “Pride cometh before a fall,” but the real meaning is, “Arrogance cometh before a fall.” It is the greatest arrogance to think that such a tragedy cannot happen, simply because it would be so inconvenient.
It is breathtaking to realize that our government could start a war over imaginary “weapons of mass destruction,” yet do not see that this unfolding catastrophe in Japan could be a real agent of mass destruction, whether it is a weapon or not.
How can people claim to be religious when they will not be responsible stewards of this earth? How can they think that it is okay to pollute this marvelous planet we have, and that an indulgent father-figure god will rescue them from their greed? Will the ultimate downfall of humanity be insanity?
It’s quite definitely a weapon of mass global destruction. The weapon is alive and kicking as we speak. The weapon will never die:
“A meltdown is forever.” (Michio Kaku)
No level of radiation is safe.
We are getting persistent, and increasing, low-levels of radiation from Fukushima in the air, ocean, rainfall, fish and Japanese goods (and people). Nobody will die right away, but escaping death will be more difficult as time goes on (bioaccumulation and biomagnification).
The fish are inedible (not just the tuna).
Tokyo is covered in radioactive black dust and this is being made worse through burning of radioactive debris (radiation gets aerosolized and pushed up into the air where it connects with the Jet Stream and gets carried across to North America).
Very high readings in the Cascades and Rocky Mountains.
Justin Bieber is also safe and non-radioactive. His activities are broadcast all over the earth.
Why is it that this (‘safe’, ‘green’ and ‘low-level’) disaster is not also broadcast all over the earth?
In the meantime – stay out of the rain. Ninety percent of fallout comes down in the rain – as measured by geiger counters in North America. (Geiger counters do not record all the radioactivity in fish and other foods – you need a scintillating spectrometer for that).
2 Thess 2:3 Let no man deceive you by any means
Indeed, as the earth spins and currents flow, those east of Fukushima should be concerned.
Who is responsible? While Japan does have the site on it’s property, the design and specifications might not have been their own. The ultimate responsibility for this mess lies with the IAEA as well as the designer(s.) Possibly the contractors who might have deviated from the specification.
See clause A1 – 7 of
The Statute of the IAEA
http://www.iaea.org/About/statute.html#A1.3
Everyone in America is sitting back waiting for the problems to get better by themselves. All that is needed is economic growth. Everyone knows that this is something provided by free markets and small government.
Let’s all the nay-sayers step out of the way and let capitalism roll up its sleeves and go to work.
Maybe tomorrow …
Maybe the next day …
“Akio Matsumura is a renowned diplomat who has dedicated his life to building bridges between government, business, and spiritual leaders in the cause of world peace. He is the founder and Secretary General of the Global Forum of Spiritual and Parliamentary Leaders on Human Survival with conferences held in Oxford, Moscow, Rio de Janeiro, Kyoto, and Konya.”
http://akiomatsumura.com/akio
RAMPENT COURRUPT PRACTICES BY NUCLEAR INDUSTRY IN ALL COUNTRIES:
Infact the nuclear establishment in Japan led by the prominent industrialists and the Ministry of Trade have been spending since 1970s hundreds of billions of dollars for advertisement and educational programmes on nuclear safety and the Government spent $12million per year. After the 1973 oil crisis Japan promoted nuclear plants under the pretext of energy security and began to spend about 400billion Yen per year for nuclear power while the industries invested 2 trillion Yen per year for nuclear plants. The Government created many organizations to propagate on nuclear safety and one of the organization known as Japan Atomic Energy Relations Organization gets 40% funding from Government and 60% from nuclear plant operators. This organization sends nuclear power experts to propagate on nuclear safety in the high school and colleges all over the country. Recently Japanese realized the truth of the statement by the nuclear reactor pioneer, Alwin Weinberg that “a nuclear accident somewhere is a nuclear accident everywhere.”
JUST AS AN IRRITATED SNAKE KILLS A MAN, NUCLEAR PLANTS KILL MILLIONS OF PEOPLEAND PROVIDE CORRUPTION MONEY TO POLITICIANS:
Nuclear Plants are just silent killers of man and Nature created by the GOD. In nature the Uranium ore contains 99.3% of Uranium-238 and the remaining 0.7% is Uranium-235. Uranium-238 and Uranium-235 in nature are least harmful. But business people and other vested interests dig the iron ore and convert the least harmful Uranium-235 into the fuel form of Uranium-235 by purifying it to make a fuel by enriching it to about 4% of Uranium-235 that is packed in pellets and inserted into the core of the nuclear reactor for producing both electricity and material for making the bombs. The reactor when the nuclear atom is given a blow by a neutron, enormous heat and other poisonous Radio-active atoms like Xenon, Barium, Cesium, Strontium, Plutonium and other dangerous radioactive substances are produced. These radioactive substances are discharged into the air and water by several ways and when they enter into the environment consisting of air, water and soil and foods like vegetables, fishes, prawns they ultimately get into human beings and produce cancers and birth defects in generations of people for many decades to come. These poisonous radioactive substances destroy natural and human life and culture and convert lands upto hundreds of kilometers into permanent nuclear burial grounds for ever.
How harmless Uranium ore materials in nature are converted into destructive and killer materials by man can be understood by the following simple example. For instance king cobras live in nature in anthills in forests and lead their normal life peacefully by catching their prey for food during nights But greedy people go and poke their iron rods into their abodes and disturb the Cobras when they become angry and bite the trespassers to inflict death over them by their poisons. Similarly, the selfish people are mining the harmless Uranium and converting it into harmful Enriched Uranium and then using it to produce electricity by means of the Nuclear plants and in the process they are producing Radioactive pollutants that poison man and nature slowly due to routine releases of radioactivity into the environment .In course of time if an accident occurs in the Nuclear plant due to several reasons like in Fukushima or Chernobyl, the poisonous pollutants are thrown into the atmosphere and they kill thousands of people slowly and inflict cancer to millions of people living downstream upto hundreds of Kilometers as in case of Fukushima and Chernobyl accidents. The Nuclear plant operators are misleading the public by stating that Nuclear power is safe and cheap just like the medical representatives of various pharmaceutical companies praise before the doctors about the virtues of their medical tablets and tonics as part of their sale promotion activity the nuclear authorities are praising the nuclear plants as safe and cheap energy producers which is wrong. This misinformation is dangerous to public health and welfare because in European states almost all people agree that safety of Nuclear (power is a Myth as accepted by Angela Merkel, Chancellor of Germany. She had consulted the genuine experts on nuclear plants and realized that nuclear safety is a myth and ordered for gradual closure of all the nuclear plants in Germany.
HEADS OF FOREIGN COUNTRIES WORK AS COMMISSION AGENTS FOR REACTOR MANUFACTURERSTO SELL THEM TO CORRUPTED POOR COUNTRIES ALSO:
The US goverment does not act against hazardous nuclear plants because the nuclear industry is in firm control of most American politicians. Corruption has become rampant here, and as Mark Twain once said, “We have best government money can buy”.
In “Obama and the Atom Lobby”, (see http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/06/08/obama-and-the-atom-lobby ) authors Jeffrey St. Clair and Joshua Frank describe Barack Obama as “. . . the nuclear industry’s Golden Child. No president in the last three decades has put more taxpayer dollars behind atom power than Barack Obama . . . the president is salivating over the prospect of building new nuclear power plants around the country.”
St. Clair and Frank note that Exelon, the nation’s largest nuclear power plant operator, in 2008 provided Barack Obama with his fifth largest bloc of campaign contributions. They state, “Two of Obama’s largest campaign fundraisers include Frank M. Clark and John W. Rogers Jr., both top Exelon officials. Clark served as a “bundler” for Obama for America, helping raise millions of dollars for the campaign. Even Obama’s chief strategist in 2008, David Axelrod, has done consulting work for the company.”
Ex 23:32 Thou shalt make no covenant with them, nor with their gods.
33 They shall not dwell in thy land, lest they make thee sin against me: for if thou serve their gods, it will surely be a snare unto thee.
Three simple questions:
1. Has the Japanese government invited “the U.S.” to come in? (There’s a difference between calling in individual scientists/experts and asking for U.S. government assistance.)
2. Is there knowledge/technology anywhere to remedy/control this catastrophe?
3. One must assume any efforts to deal with the problem would come at enormous cost. From what source are such funds available?
The U.S. can no longer perform “White Knight” service to the world. (Even if it’s experts failed to think of potential problems and take appropriate actions at the time of their involvement in designing the technology. You can’t sue a doctor for not having information about future treatments at the earlier time when you were treated.)
And, think of the other coming events awaiting intervention, including global flooding and fires and hunger and wars arising due to changes in climatic conditions affecting the world’s unbounded lands and seas.
“Sustainability,” unfortunately, may be entering too late into our collective consciousness.
2 Chron 20:15 Thus saith the Lord unto you, Be not afraid nor dismayed by reason of this great multitude; for the battle is not yours, but God’s.
Ps 50:15 And call upon me in the day of trouble: I will deliver thee, and thou shalt glorify me.
9 Sept 14:05 Thus said the Lord untothee: Ypou add nothing to the conversation, so shuteth upeth.
All Glory to God.
There is an aspect of this disaster that no one mentions, yet it complicates matters even further. That is the cultural factor. People who have only a superficial knowledge of Japan are likely to assume, on the basis of their cultures and their impressions of Japan, that Japan is efficient and high-tech and that, if the Japanese need help, they will ask for it. Such a perception may make onlookers worldwide complacent.
If people think Japan efficient, they would be both right and wrong. Japanese are very good at designing management systems and processes. However, it is precisely this tendency to construct rigid systems that may prevent the country from initiating an imaginative response to a catastrophe of these proportions. In the case of this unprecedented nuclear disaster, neither the know-how nor the technology exists to deal with it. That is why international experts must be mobilized to imagine and experiment with potential solutions.
On the degree to which Japan is high-tech, again people would be right and wrong. Japan’s invention of just-in-time inventory management and the Shinkansen bullet train, as well as electronic gadgetry, give the impression of high-tech capacity. However, at a fundamental level, most Japanese homes lack central heating, using instead paraffin heaters, and system storage in homes is largely absent. High technology does not permeate the society; it is rather a veneer masking the opposite.
The answer to the third question on whether the Japanese government would call for assistance from other countries if it believed it needed it, is that this is very unlikely. It is the concept of “face” that would prevent it from doing so. Calling for help would be an admission that it could not cope with the emergency and would represent a massive loss of face for a society in which this is the ultimate value. The Fukushima disaster was caused by a combination of a failure of regulation and incompetence. Therefore those who caused it, i.e. the Japanese government and TEPCO, cannot be trusted to be open and honest about the true situation or to find solutions. Nor should the Japanese media be expected to report Fukushima facts accurately because Japan is a consensual society, in which “the nail that sticks up will be hammered down”.
These explanations are not intended to be criticisms, but rather to explain why those outside Japan would be wrong to judge the country by their own cultures and thereby over-optimistically assume that Japan is coping or will be able to cope. The scale of this disaster is global and not local. It is the responsibility of all to press their government representatives to insist that the global community become involved in finding answers to a catastrophe that already has major worldwide implications in terms of radiation poisoning of air, water and food. The critical situation of Day 1 has not improved in the succeeding fifteen months. On the contrary, it has considerably worsened. A single earthquake, of which there is at least a 70% risk, could now cause the collapse of fuel pool No. 4 and trigger Armageddon. Preventing it is not the responsibility of Japan. It is yours. And it is now.
I would like to follow up on my earlier comment about the important element of culture with corroboration from the report of the official Fukushima nuclear accident independent investigation commission, published on 5 July 2012:
“The Fukushima nuclear power plant accident was the result of collusion between the government, the regulators and Tepco, and the lack of governance by said parties”.
The commission’s chairman, Kiyoshi Kurokawa, a professor emeritus at Tokyo University, said in a scathing introduction that cultural traits had caused the disaster.
He said: “What must be admitted, very painfully, is that this was a disaster ‘Made in Japan.’ Its fundamental causes are to be found in the ingrained conventions of Japanese culture: our reflexive obedience; our reluctance to question authority; our devotion to ‘sticking with the programme’; our groupism; and our insularity.”
If these are the factors that led to the disaster, are we going to trust the same people who caused this mess to clear it up? I sincerely hope not. Please lobby your representatives urgently for an international team to be called in.
Go to http://www.nuclearreader.info to learn all you need to know about radiation. A must read, especially in the wake of Fukushima. Also, there is an excellent book called Radiation Protective Foods by Sara Shannon. I got mine at Amazon.com. This is the most critical threat to health and armed with information is the only way we will be able to stop the insanity. Nuclear power is an absurd way to boil water.
“Investigating Reactor 4 should be a prioritized national security issue”
Absolutely true, but solving Fukushima Dai-ichi should be a prioritized global security issue.
“we have been lucky for 14 months but it was a litmus test to see if opinion leaders from all walks of life would stand up to face the challenge”
It was and is a litmus test for the sanity and survival of Japan and humanity that leaders stand up and face the challenge NOW. It is truly a measure of the criminal stupidity of our governance system and leadership that this issue is not being addressed as the no. 1 global security priority, especially when so much attention and effort are wasted daily on comparitively trivial issues.
NODA, OBAMA AND ALL GLOBAL LEADERS ACT NOW TO PREVENT A FORSEEABLE AND PROBABLE GLOBAL CATASTROPHE FOR HUMANITY BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE – IT MAY BE ALREADY, BUT THERE IS NOT ANOTHER MOMENT TO BE LOST.
ACT NOW OR POSSIBLY-PROBABLY BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE END OF JAPAN AND EVEN THE WORLD! NOTHING ELSE TO BE DONE IS OF COMPARABLE IMPORTANCE TO SOLVING THIS ISSUE AND THREAT!
ANY EFFORT AND EXPENSE THEREBY WILL BE TRIVIAL COMPARED TO THAT OF THE DISASTER THAT LOOMS. FAILURE TO HAVE DONE ALL POSSIBLE TO PREVENT IT WILL BE THE GREATEST CRIMINAL NEGLIGENCE AND STUPIDITY IN HISTORY, AND PERHAPS THE LAST.
ACT NOW! BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE!
Today I launched a new website, FukushimaFAQ.info – for latest info and clear, documented answers to these questions:
— What led to world-threatening problems at Fukushima?
— What are the current world-threatening problems at Fukushima?
— Why haven’t we been told of this dangerous situation by authorities and media?
— Who is/will be affected by Fukushima, and what effects are likely?
— How can I protect myself and my loved ones?
For hottest news you have to pay a quick visit world wide web and on web I found this web page as a best website for most recent updates.
It doesn’t appear to be the Air Force’s idea. They are loonkig into it because Sen. Domenici and Craig asked them to.Frankly, I’m not seeing the logic. There is no compelling need domestically. The US grid is pretty reliable and any mission critical loads could be supplied temporarily with generators just like hospitals do. For any number of reasons building one on a foreign base would be horrendously problematic. At least subs and carriers can be asked to leave. How would a country tell the Air Force to go and take its 100 MW power plant with it?
精准医疗又叫个性化医疗,是指以个人基因组信息为基础,结合蛋白质组,代谢组等相关内环境信息,为病人量身设计出最佳治疗方案,以期达到治疗效果最大化和副作用最小化的一门定制医疗模式。因此相较传统医疗,精准医疗具有针对性、高效性及预防性等特征。
美国医学界在2011年首次提出了“精准医学”的概念,今年1月20日,奥巴马又在美国国情咨文中提出“精准医学计划”,希望精准医学可以引领一个医学新时代。10月8日,2015全球创新论坛纽约峰会在纽约穆迪总部大楼举办。乐土投资集团CEO刘如银在峰会上介绍了他的精准医疗生态圈的想法。
刘如银介绍了乐土投资在美国的国际化实践,包括在美国的地产投资拓展,以及最新投资的医疗健康项目。乐土投资集团(CLIG)定位以硅谷的高科技投资为引擎,以科技医疗和互联网金融为两翼,链接最具价值的深科技健康项目,服务国际大健康和科技发展。
美国财政预算计划在2016年拨付给美国国立卫生研究院(NIH)、美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)、美国国家医疗信息技术协调办公室(ONC)等机构共2.15亿美元用于资助这方面的科学研究与创新发展。
刘如银说:美国的精准医疗主要是围绕着基因组、蛋白组等方面的检测,也就是围绕分子生物学的特性,针对个体化的病理特征进行治疗。而我们所关注的不仅如此,更是系统化的,全过程、全要素、全局性的对医疗过程和临床实践进行优化。我们所指的精准医疗也是针对每一个病人的具体病情,正确选择并精确的应用适当的治疗方法。刘如银认为:精准医疗的最终目标是以最小化的医源性损害、最低化的医疗资源耗费去获得最大化的病患的效益,其前景不可限量。
精准医疗要做到个性、高效及预防的关键在于筛查和诊断,因此基因测序等检测诊断技术的发展是关键。成本的下降让基因测序商业化市场的打开成为可能,基因测序技术的成熟和商用经过了多年的发展,1980 年自动测序仪出现,2001 年完成了人类基因组框架图标志着这一技术的成熟,2007 年二代基因测序技术大幅降低测序成本,使得这一技术应用出现可能,以走在前列的Illumina 公司为例,该公司自2007 年起把当时每个基因组的测序成本费用从1000万美元降到了当下的1000 美元, 根据Illumina 公司数据,全球NGS(二代基因测序)的应用市场规模预计为200 亿美元,药品研发和临床应用是增速最快的领域,增速超过15%,肿瘤诊断和个性化用药是最有应用前景的领域,市场规模120亿美元。乐土投资与Illumina以及新一代的基因检测公司Genalyte, Centrillion都有着合作关系。
刘如银说:精准医疗作为医疗模式的革新对提高我国国民健康水平有重要意义,将在基因测序技术发展和国家政策的推动下迎来黄金发展期。精准治疗是下一个新兴朝阳行业,我们关注基因测序、肿瘤诊断及个性化用药等相关投资机会。
全球创新论坛纽约峰会由全美华人金融协会(The Chinese Finance Association, TCFA) 主办。全美华人金融协会于一九九四年在美国成立。分布在世界各地的会员来自华尔街投行、基金、监管部门、和学术界,已成为联系中美金融界最重要的桥梁之一。协会定期举行学术年会。协会本部设在纽约,并在波士顿,华盛顿,旧金山,伦敦,香港,北京和上海等金融中心设有分会。
原招商银行行长马蔚华,中信银行美国分行行长文兵,汉世纪投资管理有限公司合伙人吴皓,联合国南南合作办首席经济与投资专家杨庆宏等参加了本年度会议并发表了讲话。